Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#292
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#275
Pace69.7#118
Improvement-1.1#218

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#280
Improvement-3.4#317

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#279
Improvement+2.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. L 72-78 22%     0 - 1 -6.0 -7.4 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2011 296   @ Utah W 70-64 38%     1 - 1 +1.1 +0.8 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2011 223   Seattle L 73-85 45%     1 - 2 -18.7 -6.5 -11.4
  Nov 26, 2011 150   @ Idaho L 67-76 12%     1 - 3 -4.3 -2.0 -2.8
  Nov 28, 2011 263   @ San Jose St. W 77-70 30%     2 - 3 +4.4 +9.2 -4.1
  Dec 03, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-67 53%     3 - 3 -4.7 -12.2 +7.3
  Dec 11, 2011 268   UC Riverside L 73-75 56%     3 - 4 -11.6 +0.7 -12.3
  Dec 18, 2011 287   @ Pepperdine L 36-59 35%     3 - 5 -27.0 -31.8 +1.7
  Dec 20, 2011 14   @ New Mexico L 46-91 2%     3 - 6 -27.7 -18.5 -7.4
  Dec 28, 2011 213   Eastern Washington L 66-82 43%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -22.1 -18.2 -1.9
  Dec 30, 2011 207   Portland St. W 86-73 42%     4 - 7 1 - 1 +7.2 +9.2 -1.4
  Jan 05, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. W 73-69 41%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -1.5 +2.2 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 49-63 9%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -7.5 -19.7 +10.9
  Jan 14, 2012 338   @ Northern Arizona W 74-72 66%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -10.2 -8.8 -1.6
  Jan 19, 2012 293   Sacramento St. W 72-65 63%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -4.4 -7.4 +3.0
  Jan 21, 2012 254   Northern Colorado W 84-72 54%     8 - 8 5 - 2 +3.0 +5.9 -2.4
  Jan 26, 2012 207   @ Portland St. W 70-65 20%     9 - 8 6 - 2 +6.0 -4.2 +10.4
  Jan 28, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington L 52-69 20%     9 - 9 6 - 3 -16.3 -20.7 +4.4
  Feb 02, 2012 300   Idaho St. L 86-87 OT 66%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -13.3 -3.5 -9.7
  Feb 04, 2012 95   Montana L 58-67 18%     9 - 11 6 - 5 -7.2 -9.3 +1.8
  Feb 09, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. L 76-86 37%     9 - 12 6 - 6 -14.6 -5.3 -8.6
  Feb 11, 2012 254   @ Northern Colorado L 64-77 OT 29%     9 - 13 6 - 7 -15.2 -17.9 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2012 123   Weber St. L 70-79 23%     9 - 14 6 - 8 -9.3 -8.0 -1.1
  Feb 18, 2012 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 66-80 14%     9 - 15 -10.2 -7.6 -2.9
  Feb 25, 2012 95   @ Montana L 47-57 7%     9 - 16 6 - 9 -1.4 -13.8 +11.2
  Feb 27, 2012 338   Northern Arizona W 79-60 85%     10 - 16 7 - 9 +0.0 +3.5 -2.0
  Mar 03, 2012 207   @ Portland St. L 53-75 20%     10 - 17 -21.0 -16.3 -8.0
Projected Record 10.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%